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by sajid khan
 

Musharraf ended the prospect of the armed forces acting as an institution to save the country from its political class. Zardari is putting the final nails into the coffin of the political class. The lawyers, the ex-servicemen and other segments of the civil society may yet unite to replace the political class but that does not appear likely.

The MQM (Muthada Qumi Movement whose leader Altaf Hussain is a British Citizen living  in self exile in London over a decade and makes long distance speeches from his 40+ personnel International Secretariat) as well as the Asif Zardari -PPP are playing poker with all their cards on the table. Their moves are not hard to anticipate and frustrate.

Never in the history of any country, its government has so consistently acted against the national interest as the Zardari Administration. He presides over a coalition comprising political parties that oppose Pakistan . Under his leadership, the PPP has also become an anti-Pakistan Party that works for the Indian agenda  - more eagerly on points on which India and the USA agree.

The break-up of Pakistan has been the agenda of India and America during the Bush era. President Obama has yet to show his hand but it is unlikely that he would change that objective; he is more likely to use smart power to achieve his objective, which is the preferred method of India any way. Besides India has experience of 1971 for breaking up Pakistan . In 1971, India had Soviet support for its plans, now it has US support. The Scheme has three parts:

1.      The first part of the Indo-US scheme was to install a government in Pakistan that does not care about national interests. That has been successfully accomplished; all the ruling parties are anti-Pakistan. Their popularity rating has sunk to 12 per cent and they do know why? But they do not care; they still have long enough time - four years - to accomplish the break-up of Pakistan .

2.      The second part is to make ‘provincial autonomy' the focal point of politics. Since the experience of 1971 is fresh in the minds of the people, no province is ready to repeat the mistake. But India has other cards to play. It has a ‘Trojan Horse' in the politics of Pakistan in the shape of the MQM representing refugees from India . They do know what happened to their counter-parts in East Pakistan (Bihari Muslims) after it seceded; they became stateless. The fate of Mohajir in Pakistan would be the same if politics in the provinces were organised on ethnic lines; they would become stateless. Yet, they have volunteered to front the political campaign for the break-up of Pakistan . Why? Because they have to obey those who fund and direct them. It was Sheikh Mujib who fronted the Indian campaign in 1971; it is Altaf Hussain in 2009.

3.      The third part of Indo-US scheme is that the armed forces should be discredited and demonised. That is not difficult because the wounds inflicted by ‘General' Musharraf on Pakistan are still raw. He is the one who acquiesced to Indo-US diktat on every issue of national importance. He deceived the people and acted dishonourably so frequently that it is hard for his successors to resurrect the image of the armed forces. The Army operations against the ‘Islamists' in Swat and FATA are controversial both in objectives as well as conduct. The Army has been found to be unable to defend itself - physically and in public perception. The biggest success of the Indo-US strategy has been to set the Islamists - who had been the nemesis of the secular forces - on Pakistan instead.         

There is confusion in Pakistan of the same kind as in 1971. It was public knowledge that Sheikh Mujib was an Indian agent and would act on India 's directions, but the political class looked at him with admiration for his ‘courage' to establish contact with the ‘enemy' and secure its support. Today Altaf Hussain is held in similar awe for having enlisted India and America in his support. His other anti-Pakistan coalition partners would give their eyeteeth for the spell he casts over his Shia-Muhajir constituents. The patriotic Pakistanis - despite being in overwhelming majority - are stricken by dumbness as they were in 1971. Thy do not even have the courage to criticise the MQM draft of constitutional amendment. 

There are two important arguments that need to be articulated by the patriotic press and the politicians:

1. Provincial autonomy is neither a universal doctrine nor an Islamic one. It is rooted in the history of the British Empire in India that annexed different territories at different times on different terms. The essential feature of their ‘conquests' - whether the territory was annexed or remained under ‘princely rule' - was that the land remained under the ownership of the province or the state; it was the people who became the ‘subjects of the crown'. Even today, all the ‘state land' is the property of the province. From that it followed that taxes on land and property and rules for the sale and transfer of land and property be made by the province/state. But the taxes on people (their income and their production) were the exclusive right of the federal government, which was responsible for every aspect of peoples' life - their health, education, security, and welfare. That division of rights and responsibilities is still sound in principle as well as practice.  Provincial autonomy is fair and good if the land revenue and taxes on minerals - including oil and gas - are collected exclusively by the provincial governments and used for development of infrastructure, irrigation, and maintenance of law and order. The responsibility for health and education should be returned to the federal government as it is the one responsible for the security and welfare of the people and collects taxes on peoples' income and production. .
2. A powerful country is one where the society is cohesive and the people are free. Since 98% of Pakistanis are Muslims, the cohesion among the people is remarkable.  The people are free to move inside the country and for work overseas. The Pakistanis are institutionally fee and Pakistan is a strong country. Imagine the situation if a Kashmiri or a Pathan required a work permit to work in the Punjab or Sindh. Would it serve the interest of any province? Baluchistan is a province with Pashtun, the Baloch and non-Baloch in almost equal numbers. Should Baluchistan be split into three provinces? What would be result of such a split? Mass migrations, more strife and even more poverty and destitution! There are more Pathans in Karachi than in Peshawar . There are more Baloch in Sindh and Punjab than in Baluchistan . The people have benefited from such migration. Had that not been the case they would not have moved. To the extent that provincial autonomy places restrictions of freedom of people to move, it is regressive. Indirect restrictions like sale of state land only to locals are the best means by which fears of change in demographic balance are addressed. That is the case at present and this can continue.  

That the provinces of Pakistan are not defined by or restricted to any ethnic group is the strength of Pakistan . It is only the enemies of Pakistan who want to define the provinces of Pakistan in ethnic terms. That is why it is the prime enemy of the state of Pakistan , whose leaders decried the Two Nation Theory and the Founder of Pakistan in Delhi   - the MQM - who is the mouthpiece of the Indian agenda. The political class is not going to criticise the MQM and its nefarious activities. It is partly because of fear of being gunned down by this mafia and partly because the other political parties not yet organised fully as a mafia consider the MQM as a their model. The direction in which Asif Zardari is moving the PP supports that view. The PPP was a populist political party under the leadership of Late Prime Ministers Zulfikar Ali Bhutto and Benazir Bhutto. It is now being transformed into a Zardari mafia. A mafia is an organisation in which strict obedience of the ‘boss' is the only law. The way the AZ-PPP has switched from supporting the restoration of the judges sacked by General Musharraf to supporting the judges that took oath under Musharaf's PCO on 3 November 2007, shows that it is now Zardari Mafia like the MQM is Altaf Mafia.

The people of Pakistan are wide-awake through the Indo-US sponsored slaughter in their country. The US support notwithstanding, the ANP has been wiped clean out of NWFP and Baluchistan . The MQM is nervous. Its leaders sitting in London and holding ministerial office in Islamabad are meeting American officials offering them their services independently of Asif Zardari. The situation of AZ is really difficult. His coalition partners - the ANP and the MQM - have closer relations with India and the USA . They can start and sustain a civil war to break up Pakistan . All Asif Zardari can offer - if provide the tools - is to use his army to crush the militants in Swat and FATA who have in any case been unleashed on Pakistan under a clandestine Indo-US operation. But he India has a use for him. The third part of the Indo-US scheme for Pakistan requires the armed forces to be an object of derision rather than awe, of contempt rather than fear. That can only be accomplished by wanton use of air power in Swat and FATA as is being insisted upon by the USA , and by Asif Zardari with diligent support of his ‘tried and tested accomplices' called advisors to the Prime Minister. 

The people are wide-awake but they have little hope. The entire political class and the system on which they feed and thrive are ready to collapse. It may well be the Indo-US scheme to break up Pakistan that overcomes their disinclination to mass action. Musharraf ended the prospect of the armed forces acting as an institution to save the country from its political class. Zardari is putting the final nails into the coffin of the political class. The lawyers, the ex-servicemen and other segments of the civil society may yet unite to replace the political class but that does not appear likely. The challenge is too big and the self-imposed restrictions on their objectives and actions are a heavy constraint. May be the MQM draft of amendments to the constitution makes the institutions of the civil society take up the challenge that the PML(N) and other like minded parties are unable or unwilling to. It is hard to make predictions. But the MQM as well as the AZ -PPP are playing poker with all their cards on the table. Their moves are not hard to anticipate and frustrate. ++

 CIA / Blackwater Party for Pakistani Journalists Shaukat Paracha, Asma Shirazi, Meher Bukhari, Saima Mohsin are some of the names that were in attendance, in a Drink & Dance party hosted by the US Ambassador to Pakistan, Anne W Patterson. CIA Public Relations on fire...Do you expect this "Pakistani Media" would tell you the truth and serves the interests of Islam and Pakistan?Few Photos from the event below: __________________

Ms Bhutto, "condemned the killings of police officers and said, my thoughts are with families of those killed in the line of duty. She demanded that (Musharraf) government should brought killer/ terrorists to justice and protects the men doing their job and following orders". Some people say that MQM is more dangerous then any terrorist organisation'. ?

"If you can't baffle them with brilliance, dazzle them with bullshit!" said probably Lord Nelson, this is exactly what Altaf Hussain outsourced in London ‘telephone based' leader of MQM and Rehman Malik doing? Altaf Hussain claimed his supporters in Karachi increased by 10 million in just two years because he claimed to have 20 million supporters in an interview with Edgware Times in November 1998. But in 2001 MQM claimed to have 30 million supporters when MQM send a fax to Reuters on 22 September 2001. "(MQM leader) Altaf Hussain has offered the unconditional support of over 30 million MQM supporters to the U.S. president and the international community," its London-based international secretariat said in a statement faxed to Reuters. September 22, 2001.

Altaf Hussain's MQM has caused more economic and human losses to Pakistan by strikes and terrorist activities then wars with India? There are reports that MQM has issued thousands of arms licences to its workers and sympathisers in Karachi and some of the licences might have been issued from other provinces. According to a source, ‘Altaf group is planning and preparing for armed fight with other groups in Karachi especially on 12th May 2009'. There might be a plan to divide Karachi on ethnic zones as Rehman Malik mentioned in Dera Ismail Khan? The alleged transfer of money from Karachi to London, Germany, Dubai, South Africa, Canada, and United States is alarming. There reports of increase in the arms sale in Karachi seem serious but what are the authorities doing?

Elements close to MQM were also allegedly involved in the terrorism, arson, and killings in December 2007, after the tragic death of Benzair Bhutto. Many analysts believe that it was a dry run by the foreign sponsored elements to separate Karachi from the rest of the country. The second dry run was done by Rehman Malik interior minister and gatekeeper of ‘Zardari Empire', with ‘container blockade' on 16th March 2009 when he closed down inter-province borders with containers. So what is Altaf Hussain up to now that is a crucial question to political and security leadership to think about. His alleged close links with the Indian agency and also acting like a mercenary force getting orders from foreign masters.

After September 11, the United States identified even more with the MQM as it was the only party in Pakistan that widely mourned the attacks on the US, openly condemned the Taliban and al-Qaeda, and launched a powerful campaign in support of the US attack on Afghanistan. Latterly, the MQM has been the only party to support the military's intervention in the tribal areas.

Asia Times Online reported, ‘sources say that, ‘only US diplomatic intervention stopped Musharraf from taking strong action against the MQM after he received the report on the recent unrest in which the MQM was implicated. Washington indeed has a powerful southern ally in Pakistan'.

It is time for the government of Pakistan to approach its friends and allies to have a clear cut answers about the real Agenda in Pakistan? Crimes of Altaf Hussain and his party MQM are so heinous that he couldn't dare going back to Karachi even the whole period of Musharraf and now Zardari rule?

The government of Pakistan says it will let the current legal proceedings take their course against Altaf Hussein, the leader of the MQM. The Minister of Information, Mushahid Hussein, said the government had not so far sought his extradition from Britain on November 8, 1998.The minister was responding to reports in a British Sunday newspaper that Pakistan was seeking his return to face trial. Altaf Hussein faces charges of terrorism, abduction, and torture in Pakistan.

I asked late Benzair Bhutto at dinner in London few years ago to comment on the targeted killings on reportedly more then 670 police officers in Karachi. Most of them killed had taken part in the Karachi Operation conducted by the PPP government. Ms Bhutto, "condemned the killings of police officers and said, my thoughts are with families of those killed in the line of duty. She demanded that (Musharraf) government should brought killer/ terrorists to justice and protects the men doing their job and following orders". Some people say that MQM is more dangerous then any terrorist organisation'.

While talking to Edgware Times a local paper Altaf Hussain explained his plight: "It is never easy running a movement. One has to sacrifice many things -- Jesus Christ sacrificed for his people." He is receiving full support of Qadiyani leader, their International Secretariat, and network?

Until November 1998 Government of Pakistan was reportedly seeking extradition of Altaf Hussain who was said to be wanted in 50 murders and 150 cases of kidnapping and arson. Altaf Hussain, a trained pharmacist who has been living in England since 1992. ‘If extradited to Pakistan he will be killed', said Altaf Hussain in an interview with a newspaper in 1998. "It is my wish that they take me to trial in a British court," said Mr Hussain. "Then I will tell people nationally and internationally what has been happening in Pakistan."

MQM's deputy chief organiser of district Thattat and his wife were arrested by the police for  trafficking 120 kilos of A class drugs   according to a press report on 16th May 2004. Mohamed Ibrahim and his wife Ayesha Soho who is also member of district government were coming from Bolan area of Baluchistan on Jeep number BC 1248 when they were stopped by Dadar Police who discovered 180 kilos of HASH worth millions of from the secret compartments of the jeep.

Police has registered a case number 13/2004 report against deputy chief of MQM and his wife for drug trafficking. Area in charge SHO of the area Police confirmed that suspects have confessed they have been also involved in arms trafficking from Kabul and been to Afghanistan three times. Both were sent to SIBI jail in Baluchistan.

"MQM has been funded with the drug money apart from the money taken from the top businessmen in the name of support" according to a report published by The Frontier Post on December 25, 1998. The report says, "... What is more alarming is that the narco dollars have been used for funding the (MQM), a responsible source in the provincial government said. He added that such funding was tantamount to fuelling terrorism." Is the Narco-terror funding still on?

"I suggest a two pronged strategy: (a) Shias must infiltrate SSP to gather intelligence: Any intelligence that we gather on SSP or LJ can be simply passed to the Pakistani security agencies who are closely working with the Americans. In this way we neither have to kill, attack, injure or hurt anybody. All we are doing is passing the information and the rest is done by the agencies themselves  (b) USA is Shia's Friend - Develop a pragmatic approach towards USA.  Organizations like ISO and TJP must accept the reality that US (America) is no longer conspiring with the Wahabbis to kill the Shia in Pakistan or elsewhere. It is about time we drop the slogan of 'Death to America' once and for all. We haven't achieved anything through such hollow slogans".

In the post September 11th scenario the world has been turned on its head. Once, close friends have become open foes. Taleban who were a creation and brain child of Pakistani Intelligence services (ISI) were betrayed and classed as terrorists by their founding fathers. Mullah Zaeef the Foreign Minister of the Taleban regime was captured, shaved and handed over to the Americans by the brotherly Pakistani government. Taleban who had massacred and butchered thousands of Shias in Afghanistan during their reign of terror have retreated to the safety of caves and mountains following in the foot steps of their forefathers.

The regime of Saddam Hussain who had more Shia blood on its hands then any other government in this century was finally destroyed and brought to its knees by the American might. Saddam Hussain, a tyrant and a dictator who brought fear and death to his own people was captured from a little hole in the ground. Despite all the claims of bravery, Saddam Hussain did not offer any resistance to the American forces and instead surrendered without a fight. He was humiliated and paraded in the world media as a coward and a broken man.

The collapse of Taleban and Saddam regime have impacted the Shias more than any other group of people in this world. The Shias of Afghanistan and Iraq are finally free to practise and follow their religion without the fear of being killed or put in jail. The Shias all over the world have hopes and dreams of a better future where they can live in peace and harmony and rebuild their shattered lives. The massive gatherings of Chelum and Ashoora in Karbala are a testimony to the freedom enjoyed by the Iraqis at the moment.

Similarly there have been big muharram processions and majalises all over Afghanistan including Khandahar (the ideological capital of Taleban) and many parts of Southern Afghanistan which were the bastion of Taleban power. The Pakistani Shias were also delighted to see the back of Taleban who had given shelter and refuge to the terrorists of Sipha-e-Sahaba Pakistan (SSP) and Lashkar-e-Jangvi (LJ). These two organisations are involved in the killings of hundreds of Shia professionals in Pakistan.

The two most repressive governments from the Shia point of view i.e. the government of Taleban and the regime of Saddam Hussain have disappeared and the state sponsor killings and massacres of the Shias have come to an end in both Afghanistan and Iraq. However a new evil in the form of Wahabbi sponsored terrorism has become the biggest threat and challenge to the lives of ordinary Shias especially in Iraq and Pakistan. The deadly suicide attacks on Ashoora in Karbala and Khadmiya, the massacre of Shias on the same day in Quetta Pakistan, and the subsequent massacre of Shias in Karachi Imambargahs are a testimony to the distorted ideology of Wahabbism.

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BELIEF in conspiracy theories focusing on Pakistan is not only new, it is on the increase judging by the content of public blogs and TV talk shows.

One comes across a staggering number of people who are unwilling to look inward, instead placing all the blame on any combination of the CIA, the Federal Reserve, Mossad, RAW, the US, etc.

One natural reaction to this is to dismiss conspiracy theories as a folly present in every society. Still, in developed countries conspiracy theorists and their subscribers remain at the fringe.

In Pakistan's context, conspiracy theories are on a different scale with different implications. Going by blogs, television and anecdotal conversations with educated and illiterate people, I would surmise we are talking about a frighteningly large proportion of the mainstream. Indeed, it is common to blame the Hindus and Jews for Pakistan's security problems; the US, Blackwater and CIA for suicide attacks. And there is a total absence of introspection.

Why is the problem on such a large scale in Pakistan considering there are parallel demagogues in other countries? Why is the Pakistani public more susceptible than its western counterparts?

The answer can only be based on common sense since studies on the issue do not exist. The country is underdeveloped, lacks a decent social and physical infrastructure, its people don't have access to economic or educational opportunities. Living in a war theatre, they face food and water insecurity and see themselves as victims.

Victims of whom, though? Not of themselves, no not even in part, but of the perfect villain (the US, Israel, India...), they are told by our local demagogues. And the reason? Pakistan is a Muslim country, and all the villains are waging a war against Islam. These conditions make for a fertile ground for the breeding and dissemination of conspiracy theories.

Once the black and white of it has been established, and the foreign culprits, states and agencies identified and accepted as the villains, any cooperation by the government with the evil forces is seen in the same light. This extends to fighting terrorism. Well-known proponents of conspiracy theories are continuously reducing complex geopolitical issues the country is in the middle of to simply a matter of Islam vs the West (also Israel and India). And on this canvas depicting the epic battle between Islam and the West/Zionism, our political and military leadership is being painted as ‘agents' of CIA and the US.

The implications are grave. The common man is being prevented from seeing homegrown jihadism as a fundamental part of the problem. A housewife recently phoned in to a popular television programme on a day that a suicide bomber killed scores and, piously expressing her grief without condemning the act, said, "but first tell me who is behind all this?" This attitude is typical.

As the spectre of imminent doom (the Taliban's entry into Buner) receded some months ago, thanks to the current government and the armed forces undertaking to decisively push back the extremist insurgency, people started to lapse into their dimly lit comfort zone of conspiracy theories. Why? Because neither have the enabling conditions changed, nor have the leaders and proponents of conspiracy theories been confronted.

Demagogues like Dr Israr Ahmed and Zaid Hamid are playing the game unchecked and unchallenged. The political and military leadership, including President Asif Zardari, Interior Minister Rehman Malik and army chief Gen Parvez Kayani, is being painted as a traitor for fighting militancy. The implication is that by pitting the public against these symbols of the state, and the state's battle with militancy, conspiracy theorists are turning the public against the state itself.

This is not the Pakistan of yesterday when great games were played and deals struck behind the public's back, when the media was largely gagged and underdeveloped and, therefore, public opinion did not matter. If a war had to be fought, it was fought, and only sold as a jihad later on to the unknowing public, as Gen Ziaul Haq did in Afghanistan in the 1980s.

Today public opinion matters, as was evident in the case of Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry's reinstatement, the demise of the National Reconciliation Ordinance, the repeal of governor's rule in Punjab and the current reshuffle of some members of the federal cabinet. For this reason, the implications of conspiracy theories pitting the public against the state on a wide scale are grave.

In the media, there are two parallel universes operating, seemingly unaware of the existence of the other. That section of the media and analysts that carries on a rational debate on issues completely ignores conspiracy theorists. The other section, made up of specific anchors, columnists and programmes, carries on with these theories as if a rational world does not exist.

There are rare exceptions, for example Dawn columnist Nadeem Paracha's solid response to Zaid Hamid's theories, or Fasi Zaka's excellent pieces on the subject about a year ago. But sadly, their words would have only reached the already converted.

The widespread culture of conspiracy theories, increasingly taking on an anti state complexion, is the ticking time bomb of today. It cannot be ignored. The two parallel universes of the Pakistani media must collide, and it is the rationalist section that must catalyse the confrontation - it is not in the interest of the other to do so.

It is imperative that space is reclaimed from conspiracy theorists, for the security of the state is threatened by it. Conspiracy theories are a clear, present and internal danger and the media must take direct action. For only the media and rational elements within civil society, be they defence analysts, politicians, lawyers, retired or serving servicemen, retired judges, cabinet ministers or ambassadors, can fight it. Such credible rationalists from civil society must be invited by the media to help fight this monster. This is an enemy that the security agencies cannot fight off.

Elements in our political leadership, like Punjab Law Minister Rana Sanaullah of the PML-N and Senior Minister NWFP Bashir Ahmed Bilour of the ANP, would also do well not to fan the ‘blame India' trend for the sake of political expediency. Unfortunately, India is an easy target as it provides a ready excuse for security lapses, absolving to an extent the provincial and federal governments of the responsibility to ‘do more'